Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 380.040374 431.006578 487.444937 554.780334 633.191473 721.929055 830.393757
2025-12-14 300.594800 366.697123 446.415484 550.443378 683.790565 850.577744 1077.489377
2025-12-21 248.968078 318.139847 406.262208 528.227959 694.972078 918.356965 1246.089711
2025-12-28 226.789595 301.378101 400.940739 545.932729 755.698908 1054.512245 1524.154783
2026-01-04 211.214014 290.326312 400.294875 567.776434 822.637975 1206.476551 1849.379266
2026-01-11 193.163574 273.127980 388.137277 570.104835 859.340686 1316.675530 2127.253153
2026-01-18 174.467911 252.666685 368.447478 557.738088 870.216824 1385.902517 2347.215192
2026-01-25 158.984162 235.262031 351.204544 546.518738 880.389951 1453.802693 2574.949695
2026-02-01 151.344732 228.993209 350.273969 561.069664 934.910509 1604.860915 2984.061452
2026-02-08 141.381507 218.045220 340.632193 559.573734 960.609230 1706.928182 3316.261102
2026-02-15 131.764439 206.761354 329.270373 553.592587 976.925015 1792.941417 3631.289873
2026-02-22 124.925606 199.435803 323.772318 557.217565 1011.290500 1918.634856 4057.525375
2026-03-01 116.250274 188.486249 311.371521 547.409601 1019.423381 1994.530690 4392.774783
2026-03-08 109.295570 179.962721 302.510475 543.346003 1038.634722 2097.148248 4817.055146
2026-03-15 100.426628 167.404217 285.351532 521.449588 1018.133244 2109.444761 5016.802733
2026-03-22 97.868972 165.852664 288.071951 538.890356 1083.110004 2325.292777 5805.204602
2026-03-29 95.980916 165.334858 292.609646 560.405301 1159.903238 2582.510272 6780.752698
2026-04-05 91.837642 160.325868 288.150148 562.698546 1193.484148 2739.969597 7510.200183
2026-04-12 86.350603 152.407006 277.413810 550.518275 1191.680060 2807.157296 7980.479860
2026-04-19 81.432692 145.248200 267.638517 539.467519 1191.188367 2877.859601 8483.388971
2026-04-26 79.569550 143.850794 269.266815 553.799680 1254.850609 3133.947332 9693.603402
2026-05-03 76.223810 139.318310 264.149739 552.326283 1278.497420 3282.466152 10573.244392
2026-05-10 72.689425 134.184905 257.408716 546.435133 1289.959458 3397.937834 11369.747592